For some, conspiracy theories can help bring order to a world that is increasingly giving way to chaos. But the fatal flaw with conspiracy theories is that it would take an impressive amount of people to keep such a huge secret, no matter what conspiracy theory we’re talking about.

That’s what research associate David Robert Grimes aims to prove in a new study. Using an equation, he calculated exactly how long it would take someone involved with a conspiracy to give up the goose (either intentionally or accidentally). Based on his findings, it doesn’t look good for a lot of these theories.

Grimes first calculated how long it would take for someone who was in on it to blow any given conspiracy. He did so by collecting data from three conspiracies that actually turned out to be true.

He then took four popular conspiracy theories and calculated how many people would have to be involved in the cover-up for it to work out.

Here are a few examples. If the moon landing were faked, Grimes calculated that we all would have known 3 years and 8 months after Neil Armstrong made the first step.

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If vaccinations were bad, the secret would have been out 3 years and 2 months after doctors filled them with autism juice (or whatever uninformed people are saying these days).

If global warming weren’t real, someone would have revealed it to us 3 years and 9 months after the first scientist decided to lie to us for no reason whatsoever.

If a cure for cancer had been invented, it would have been known 3 years and 3 months after it was discovered.

Grimes is not debunking these conspiracy theories by any means, but he is suggesting that keeping the lid on these secrets would take a TON of work. People can’t even keep the season finales of TV shows a secret, so how do you expect them to keep fake moon landings from us?

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